How Government Stimulus has turned into ordinary "Pork."Read more
Fear is an unreasonable emotion. That once it has you in its grip, can control all of your actions and responses. Risk on the other hand, is the measure of a hazard or loss. These two are as different as night and day. Although they both try to assess the potential downside of any event, one uses our rational thought and control, while the other uses just blind emotion. And ultimately leads us to become out of control, reacting in a manner that really makes no sense, and in fact can do great harm to ourselves. As a nation, our reaction to the corona virus, is threatening to move from a rational risk based response, to the pure emotion of fear.Read more
On Sunday morning, US Time, the Chinese released their latest balance of trade numbers. It was a total shock. Analysts had expected a trade surplus of nearly $25 billion dollars. Down slightly from China's usual surplus, but still solidly in the black for the Chinese Trade Machine. Instead we got a trade deficit of $7 Billion dollars. Way out of the expectation of any on Wall Street.Read more
So its against this gloomy background, that something extraordinary happened. A company which has been relegated to the financial backwater lately, scored a major gain on Friday. And its not just because of what you read in the headlines. John Deere and Company, the old line maker of those distinctive green and yellow tractors, reported solid, if not spectacular earnings.Read more
Late Monday evening, Apple posted an update on their Investor Relations Page. It was the President's Day Holiday, and obviously Apple was anxious to down-play this news. The news was that Apple would have to reduce their Quarterly Guidance. Two factors were reducing Apple sales: the first was slow down in Apple iPhone production due to the Covid-19 Virus affecting China. And the second, related news was that Apple Stores throughout China were closed also due to the pandemic.Read more
Over the next few months, we will no doubt see economic history begin made. On full display will be all of the tools and strategies of a Centrally Planned Economy. As China deals with the full ramifications of the Novel Coronavirus, now labeled Covid-19.Read more
It was just over 2 weeks ago, that the Chinese Celebrated their News Years, the Year of the Rat. Legally the New Year's celebration last an entire week. And businesses and factories are often closed for most of that time. But this year, in light of the Coronavirus, the Chinese Authorities extended the holiday for another week, and closed many shops and manufacturing plants.Read more
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